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Buffalo at Minnesota player prop picks — NFL Week 9, 2026

Buffalo
Minnesota
Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 PM
42 player prop picks, best first Inside Edge
Jordan Mason MIN
Rushing yards
Over 47.5 ★★★★★ 59% confidence
7 reasons for the over
For the over
  • The Bills have allowed Over 47.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in 2 of their last 3 games.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 47.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 47.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in 5 of 7 games (71%) this season.
  • Jordan Mason has rushed for Over 47.5 yards in 67% (2/3) of games this season.
  • Jordan Mason is averaging 49.0 rushing yards per game over his last 3 games.
  • Jordan Mason is averaging 49.2 rushing yards per game over his last 5 games.
  • Jordan Mason is averaging 49.0 rushing yards per game this season.
James Cook III BUF
Rushing yards
Over 82.5 ★★★★★ 59% confidence
7 reasons for the over, 1 for the under
For the over
  • The Vikings have allowed Over 82.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in 2 of their last 3 games.
  • The Vikings have allowed Over 82.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • James Cook has rushed for Over 82.5 yards in 57% (4/7) of games this season.
  • The Vikings have allowed 138.0 rushing yards per game to RB's over their last 3 games.
  • James Cook is averaging 95.3 rushing yards per game over his last 3 games.
  • James Cook is averaging 103.0 rushing yards per game over his last 5 games.
  • James Cook is averaging 101.0 rushing yards per game this season.
For the under
  • The Vikings have allowed Over 82.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in just 3 of 7 games (43%) this season.
Justin Jefferson MIN
Receiving yards
Under 77.5 ★★★★★ 58% confidence
4 reasons for the under, 1 for the over
For the under
  • The Bills have allowed Over 77.5 receiving yards to an opposing WR in just 3 of 7 games (43%) this season.
  • Justin Jefferson has recorded Over 77.5 receiving yards in just 1 of his last 5 games.
  • Justin Jefferson has recorded Over 77.5 receiving yards in just 33% (2/6) of games this season.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 77.5 receiving yards to an opposing WR in just 2 of their last 5 games.
For the over
  • The Bills have allowed Over 77.5 receiving yards to an opposing WR in 2 of their last 3 games.
Aaron Jones Sr. MIN
Rushing yards
Over 31.5 ★★★★★ 57% confidence
7 reasons for the over
For the over
  • The Bills have allowed Over 31.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in each of their last 3 games.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 31.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in each of their last 5 games.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 31.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in each of their 7 games this season.
  • Aaron Jones has rushed for Over 31.5 yards in 71% (5/7) of games this season.
  • Aaron Jones is averaging 53.7 rushing yards per game over his last 3 games.
  • Aaron Jones is averaging 62.6 rushing yards per game over his last 5 games.
  • Aaron Jones is averaging 65.4 rushing yards per game this season.
James Cook III BUF
Rushing attempts
Over 18.5 ★★★★★ 57% confidence
7 reasons for the over
For the over
  • James Cook has beat the Over for carries in each of his last 3 games.
  • James Cook has beat the Over for carries in 4 of his last 5 games.
  • James Cook has beat the Over for carries in 5 of 7 games (71%) this season.
  • James Cook has recorded Over 18.5 carries in each of his last 3 games.
  • James Cook has recorded Over 18.5 carries in 4 of his last 5 games.
  • James Cook has recorded Over 18.5 carries in 71% (5/7) of games this season.
  • James Cook has a 3 game streak with Over 18.5 carries.
James Cook III BUF
Receptions
Over 1.5 ★★★★★ 57% confidence
5 reasons for the over
For the over
  • James Cook has beat the Over for receptions in 4 of 7 games (57%) this season.
  • James Cook is averaging 2.0 receptions per game over his last 3 games.
  • James Cook is averaging 1.6 receptions per game over his last 5 games.
  • James Cook is averaging 1.7 receptions per game this season.
  • James Cook has been targeted 3 or more times in 71% (5/7) of games this season.
Dalton Kincaid BUF
Receptions
Over 3.5 ★★★★★ 57% confidence
4 reasons for the over, 1 for the under
For the over
  • Dalton Kincaid has beat the Over for receptions in 4 of 7 games (57%) this season.
  • Dalton Kincaid is averaging 4.0 receptions per game over his last 3 games.
  • Dalton Kincaid is averaging 3.9 receptions per game this season.
  • Dalton Kincaid has been targeted 5 or more times in 57% (4/7) of games this season.
For the under
  • Dalton Kincaid is averaging 3.0 receptions per game over his last 5 games.
Kyler Murray MIN
Rushing yards
Under 17.5 ★★★★★ 57% confidence
4 reasons for the under, 5 for the over
For the under
  • The Bills have not allowed Over 17.5 rushing yards to an opposing QB in any of their last 3 games.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 17.5 rushing yards to an opposing QB in just 1 of their last 5 games.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 17.5 rushing yards to an opposing QB in just 1 of 7 games (14%) this season.
  • The Bills have allowed 1.0 rushing yards per game to QB's over their last 3 games.
For the over
  • Kyler Murray has rushed for Over 17.5 yards in each of his last 3 games.
  • Kyler Murray is averaging 41.7 rushing yards per game over his last 3 games.
  • Kyler Murray is averaging 31.6 rushing yards per game over his last 5 games.
  • Kyler Murray is averaging 27.8 rushing yards per game this season.
  • Kyler Murray has gone Over 17.5 rushing yards in each of his last 3 games.
Kyler Murray MIN
Pass completions
Under 19.5 ★★★★★ 57% confidence
3 reasons for the under, 2 for the over
For the under
  • Kyler Murray has beat the Over for pass completions in 2 of 6 games (33%) this season.
  • Kyler Murray has completed Over 19.5 passes in 33% (2/6) of games this season.
  • Kyler Murray is averaging 16.7 pass completions per game this season.
For the over
  • The Bills have allowed 25.0 pass completions per game over their last 3 games.
  • The Bills have allowed 24.1 pass completions per game this season.
Kyler Murray MIN
Passing touchdowns
Under 1.5 ★★★★★ 56% confidence
7 reasons for the under, 1 for the over
For the under
  • Kyler Murray is averaging 1.3 passing TD's per game over his last 3 games.
  • Kyler Murray is averaging just 1.0 passing TD's per game over his last 5 games.
  • Kyler Murray is averaging just 0.8 passing TD's per game this season.
  • Kyler Murray has beat the Over for passing TD's in 1 of his last 5 games.
  • Kyler Murray has beat the Over for passing TD's in 1 of 6 games (17%) this season.
  • Kyler Murray has thrown Over 1.5 passing TD's in just 1 of his last 5 games.
  • Kyler Murray has thrown Over 1.5 passing TD's in just 17% (1/6) of games this season.
For the over
  • The Bills have allowed 2.1 passing touchdowns per game this season.
Aaron Jones Sr. MIN
Receptions
Over 1.5 ★★★★★ 56% confidence
6 reasons for the over
For the over
  • Aaron Jones has beat the Over for receptions in 4 of 7 games (57%) this season.
  • Aaron Jones is averaging 2.0 receptions per game over his last 3 games.
  • Aaron Jones is averaging 3.0 receptions per game over his last 5 games.
  • Aaron Jones is averaging 2.1 receptions per game this season.
  • Aaron Jones has been targeted 3 or more times in 4 of his last 5 games.
  • Aaron Jones has been targeted 3 or more times in 57% (4/7) of games this season.
Justin Jefferson MIN
Receptions
Under 6.5 ★★★★★ 55% confidence
7 reasons for the under, 2 for the over
For the under
  • The Bills have allowed Over 6.5 receptions to an opposing WR in just 1 of their last 5 games.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 6.5 receptions to an opposing WR in just 3 of 7 games (43%) this season.
  • Justin Jefferson is averaging just 5.0 receptions per game over his last 3 games.
  • Justin Jefferson is averaging just 4.0 receptions per game over his last 5 games.
  • Justin Jefferson is averaging just 4.7 receptions per game this season.
  • Justin Jefferson has beat the Over for receptions in 1 of 6 games (17%) this season.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 6.5 receptions to an opposing WR in just 1 of their last 3 games.
For the over
  • Justin Jefferson has been targeted 8 or more times in each of his last 3 games.
  • Justin Jefferson has been targeted 8 or more times in 67% (4/6) of games this season.
Carson Wentz MIN
Rushing yards
Under 7.5 ★★★★★ 55% confidence
6 reasons for the under, 1 for the over
For the under
  • Carson Wentz has not rushed for Over 7.5 yards in any of his last 3 games.
  • Carson Wentz has not rushed for Over 7.5 yards in any of his 2 games this season.
  • The Bills have allowed 1.0 rushing yards per game to QB's over their last 3 games.
  • Carson Wentz is averaging just 1.7 rushing yards per game over his last 3 games.
  • Carson Wentz is averaging just 2.5 rushing yards per game this season.
  • Carson Wentz has been Under 7.5 rushing yards in each of his last 3 games.
For the over
  • Carson Wentz is averaging 9.2 rushing yards per game over his last 5 games.
Ty Johnson BUF
Receptions
Over 2.5 ★★★★★ 55% confidence
5 reasons for the over
For the over
  • Ty Johnson is averaging 3.0 receptions per game over his last 3 games.
  • Ty Johnson is averaging 3.0 receptions per game over his last 5 games.
  • Ty Johnson is averaging 3.0 receptions per game this season.
  • Ty Johnson has been targeted 4 or more times in 60% (3/5) of games this season.
  • Ty Johnson has beat the Over for receptions in 3 of 4 games (75%) this season.
Jordan Mason MIN
Rushing attempts
Over 11.5 ★★★★★ 55% confidence
2 reasons for the over
For the over
  • Jordan Mason has beat the Over for carries in 2 of 3 games (67%) this season.
  • Jordan Mason has recorded Over 11.5 carries in 67% (2/3) of games this season.
T.J. Hockenson MIN
Receptions
Over 4.5 ★★★★★ 55% confidence
2 reasons for the over, 2 for the under
For the over
  • T.J. Hockenson is averaging 4.8 receptions per game over his last 5 games.
  • T.J. Hockenson has been targeted 6 or more times in 57% (4/7) of games this season.
For the under
  • T.J. Hockenson has beat the Over for receptions in 2 of 7 games (29%) this season.
  • T.J. Hockenson is averaging just 3.0 receptions per game over his last 3 games.
Josh Allen BUF
Rushing yards
Under 30.5 ★★★★★ 54% confidence
7 reasons for the under, 3 for the over
For the under
  • The Vikings have not allowed Over 30.5 rushing yards to an opposing QB in any of their last 3 games.
  • The Vikings have not allowed Over 30.5 rushing yards to an opposing QB in any of their last 5 games.
  • The Vikings have allowed Over 30.5 rushing yards to an opposing QB in just 1 of 7 games (14%) this season.
  • Josh Allen has rushed for Over 30.5 yards in just 1 of his last 5 games.
  • Josh Allen has rushed for Over 30.5 yards in just 29% (2/7) of games this season.
  • The Vikings have allowed 4.3 rushing yards per game to QB's over their last 3 games.
  • The Vikings have allowed 7.8 rushing yards per game to QB's over their last 5 games.
For the over
  • Josh Allen is averaging 50.7 rushing yards per game over his last 3 games.
  • Josh Allen is averaging 35.6 rushing yards per game over his last 5 games.
  • Josh Allen is averaging 38.6 rushing yards per game this season.
Carson Wentz MIN
Pass completions
Under 19.5 ★★★★★ 54% confidence
6 reasons for the under, 2 for the over
For the under
  • Carson Wentz has not recorded Over 19.5 pass completions in any of his 2 games this season.
  • Carson Wentz is averaging just 12.7 pass completions per game over his last 3 games.
  • Carson Wentz is averaging just 11.5 pass completions per game this season.
  • Carson Wentz has completed Under 19.5 passes in each of his last 3 games.
  • Carson Wentz has not beat the Over for pass completions in any of his 1 games this season.
  • Carson Wentz has not recorded Over 19.5 pass completions in any of his last 3 games.
For the over
  • The Bills have allowed 25.0 pass completions per game over their last 3 games.
  • The Bills have allowed 24.1 pass completions per game this season.
Dawson Knox BUF
Receiving yards
Under 7.5 ★★★★★ 54% confidence
4 reasons for the under
For the under
  • Dawson Knox has not recorded Over 7.5 receiving yards in any of his last 3 games.
  • Dawson Knox has recorded Over 7.5 receiving yards in just 1 of his last 5 games.
  • Dawson Knox has recorded Over 7.5 receiving yards in just 14% (1/7) of games this season.
  • Dawson Knox has been Under 7.5 receiving yards in each of his last 3 games.
Ty Johnson BUF
Receiving yards
Over 15.5 ★★★★★ 54% confidence
4 reasons for the over
For the over
  • Ty Johnson has recorded Over 15.5 receiving yards in 80% (4/5) of games this season.
  • Ty Johnson has recorded Over 15.5 receiving yards in each of his last 3 games.
  • Ty Johnson has recorded Over 15.5 receiving yards in each of his last 3 games.
  • Ty Johnson has recorded Over 15.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games.
Jauan Jennings MIN
Receptions
Under 1.5 ★★★★★ 54% confidence
4 reasons for the under
For the under
  • Jauan Jennings has beat the Over for receptions in 2 of 6 games (33%) this season.
  • Jauan Jennings is averaging 1.3 receptions per game over his last 3 games.
  • Jauan Jennings is averaging just 1.2 receptions per game over his last 5 games.
  • Jauan Jennings is averaging just 1.0 receptions per game this season.
Ben Yurosek MIN
Receptions
Over 0.5 ★★★★★ 54% confidence
4 reasons for the over
For the over
  • Ben Yurosek is averaging 1.0 receptions per game over his last 3 games.
  • Ben Yurosek is averaging 1.0 receptions per game this season.
  • Ben Yurosek has been targeted 2 or more times in each of his last 3 games.
  • Ben Yurosek has been targeted 2 or more times in every game (2 games) this season.
Josh Allen BUF
Pass completions
Under 20.5 ★★★★★ 53% confidence
4 reasons for the under, 1 for the over
For the under
  • Josh Allen has completed Over 20.5 passes in 43% (3/7) of games this season.
  • The Vikings have allowed 15.7 pass completions per game over their last 3 games.
  • The Vikings have allowed 14.6 pass completions per game over their last 5 games.
  • The Vikings have allowed 16.3 pass completions per game this season.
For the over
  • Josh Allen has beat the Over for pass completions in 4 of 7 games (57%) this season.
Jordan Addison MIN
Receiving yards
Over 40.5 ★★★★★ 53% confidence
3 reasons for the over
For the over
  • The Bills have allowed Over 40.5 receiving yards to an opposing WR in 2 of their last 3 games.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 40.5 receiving yards to an opposing WR in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 40.5 receiving yards to an opposing WR in 6 of 7 games (86%) this season.
Ben Yurosek MIN
Receiving yards
Over 3.5 ★★★★★ 53% confidence
3 reasons for the over
For the over
  • Ben Yurosek has recorded Over 3.5 receiving yards in each of his last 3 games.
  • Ben Yurosek has recorded Over 3.5 receiving yards in each of his 2 games this season.
  • Ben Yurosek has recorded Over 3.5 receiving yards in each of his last 3 games.
DJ Moore BUF
Receiving yards
Over 47.5 ★★★★★ 53% confidence
3 reasons for the over, 1 for the under
For the over
  • The Vikings have allowed Over 47.5 receiving yards to an opposing WR in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The Vikings have allowed Over 47.5 receiving yards to an opposing WR in 4 of 7 games (57%) this season.
  • DJ Moore has recorded Over 47.5 receiving yards in 60% (3/5) of games this season.
For the under
  • The Vikings have allowed Over 47.5 receiving yards to an opposing WR in just 1 of their last 3 games.
Khalil Shakir BUF
Receiving yards
Over 38.5 ★★★★★ 53% confidence
1 reason for the over
For the over
  • Khalil Shakir has recorded Over 38.5 receiving yards in 57% (4/7) of games this season.
James Cook III BUF
Receiving yards
Under 9.5 ★★★★★ 53% confidence
1 reason for the under
For the under
  • James Cook has recorded Over 9.5 receiving yards in just 43% (3/7) of games this season.
Josh Allen BUF
Passing yards
Under 237.5 ★★★★★ 52% confidence
6 reasons for the under, 4 for the over
For the under
  • The Vikings have allowed 180.1 passing yards per game this season.
  • The Vikings have not allowed Over 237.5 passing yards in any of their last 3 games.
  • The Vikings have not allowed Over 237.5 passing yards in any of their last 5 games.
  • The Vikings have allowed Over 237.5 passing yards in just 1 of 7 games (14%) this season.
  • The Vikings have allowed 126.7 passing yards per game over their last 3 games.
  • The Vikings have allowed 136.4 passing yards per game over their last 5 games.
For the over
  • Josh Allen is averaging 251.3 passing yards per game over his last 3 games.
  • Josh Allen is averaging 242.2 passing yards per game over his last 5 games.
  • Josh Allen is averaging 256.1 passing yards per game this season.
  • Josh Allen has beat the Over for passing yards in 4 of 7 games (57%) this season.
Carson Wentz MIN
Passing yards
Over 209.5 ★★★★★ 52% confidence
5 reasons for the over, 3 for the under
For the over
  • The Bills have allowed 262.3 passing yards per game over their last 3 games.
  • The Bills have allowed 269.0 passing yards per game this season.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 209.5 passing yards in 2 of their last 3 games.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 209.5 passing yards in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 209.5 passing yards in 6 of 7 games (86%) this season.
For the under
  • Carson Wentz is averaging just 140.0 passing yards per game over his last 3 games.
  • Carson Wentz is averaging just 138.0 passing yards per game this season.
  • Carson Wentz has not beat the Over for passing yards in any of his 1 games this season.
Khalil Shakir BUF
Receptions
Over 3.5 ★★★★★ 52% confidence
4 reasons for the over, 1 for the under
For the over
  • Khalil Shakir is averaging 4.0 receptions per game over his last 3 games.
  • Khalil Shakir is averaging 4.0 receptions per game over his last 5 games.
  • Khalil Shakir is averaging 3.9 receptions per game this season.
  • Khalil Shakir has been targeted 5 or more times in 71% (5/7) of games this season.
For the under
  • Khalil Shakir has beat the Over for receptions in 3 of 7 games (43%) this season.
Carson Wentz MIN
Passing touchdowns
Under 1.5 ★★★★★ 52% confidence
4 reasons for the under, 2 for the over
For the under
  • Carson Wentz has not beat the Over for passing TD's in any of his 1 games this season.
  • Carson Wentz has thrown Over 1.5 passing TD's in just 1 of his last 5 games.
  • Carson Wentz is averaging 1.3 passing TD's per game over his last 3 games.
  • Carson Wentz is averaging just 1.0 passing TD's per game over his last 5 games.
For the over
  • The Bills have allowed 2.1 passing touchdowns per game this season.
  • Carson Wentz is averaging 1.5 passing TD's per game this season.
Aaron Jones Sr. MIN
Rushing attempts
Over 8.5 ★★★★★ 52% confidence
2 reasons for the over
For the over
  • Aaron Jones has recorded Over 8.5 carries in 71% (5/7) of games this season.
  • Aaron Jones has beat the Over for carries in 5 of 7 games (71%) this season.
Dalton Kincaid BUF
Receiving yards
Over 36.5 ★★★★★ 52% confidence
1 reason for the over, 3 for the under
For the over
  • Dalton Kincaid has recorded Over 36.5 receiving yards in 71% (5/7) of games this season.
For the under
  • The Vikings have not allowed Over 36.5 receiving yards to an opposing TE in any of their last 3 games.
  • The Vikings have allowed Over 36.5 receiving yards to an opposing TE in just 1 of their last 5 games.
  • The Vikings have allowed Over 36.5 receiving yards to an opposing TE in just 2 of 7 games (29%) this season.
T.J. Hockenson MIN
Receiving yards
Over 41.5 ★★★★★ 51% confidence
3 reasons for the over, 1 for the under
For the over
  • The Bills have allowed Over 41.5 receiving yards to an opposing TE in 2 of their last 3 games.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 41.5 receiving yards to an opposing TE in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The Bills have allowed Over 41.5 receiving yards to an opposing TE in 4 of 7 games (57%) this season.
For the under
  • T.J. Hockenson has recorded Over 41.5 receiving yards in just 29% (2/7) of games this season.
Keon Coleman BUF
Receptions
Over 2.5 ★★★★★ 51% confidence
3 reasons for the over, 1 for the under
For the over
  • Keon Coleman is averaging 2.6 receptions per game over his last 5 games.
  • Keon Coleman is averaging 2.9 receptions per game this season.
  • Keon Coleman has been targeted 4 or more times in 57% (4/7) of games this season.
For the under
  • Keon Coleman is averaging 2.0 receptions per game over his last 3 games.
Jordan Addison MIN
Receptions
Under 3.5 ★★★★★ 51% confidence
3 reasons for the under, 2 for the over
For the under
  • Jordan Addison has beat the Over for receptions in 1 of 6 games (17%) this season.
  • Jordan Addison is averaging 3.0 receptions per game over his last 3 games.
  • Jordan Addison is averaging just 2.7 receptions per game this season.
For the over
  • Jordan Addison has been targeted 5 or more times in 4 of his last 5 games.
  • Jordan Addison has been targeted 5 or more times in 67% (4/6) of games this season.
Skyler Bell BUF
Receptions
Under 0.5 ★★★★★ 51% confidence
2 reasons for the under, 1 for the over
For the under
  • Skyler Bell has not beat the Over for receptions in any of his 1 games this season.
  • Skyler Bell is averaging just 0.0 receptions per game this season.
For the over
  • Skyler Bell has been targeted 2 or more times in every game (2 games) this season.
Ray Davis BUF
Rushing yards
Under 5.5 ★★★★★ 51% confidence
2 reasons for the under, 4 for the over
For the under
  • Ray Davis has rushed for Over 5.5 yards in just 1 of his last 5 games.
  • Ray Davis has rushed for Over 5.5 yards in just 17% (1/6) of games this season.
For the over
  • The Vikings have allowed 138.0 rushing yards per game to RB's over their last 3 games.
  • Ray Davis is averaging 12.0 rushing yards per game over his last 3 games.
  • Ray Davis is averaging 7.8 rushing yards per game over his last 5 games.
  • Ray Davis is averaging 7.0 rushing yards per game this season.
Jauan Jennings MIN
Receiving yards
Under 10.5 ★★★★★ 51% confidence
1 reason for the under
For the under
  • Jauan Jennings has recorded Over 10.5 receiving yards in just 33% (2/6) of games this season.
Aaron Jones Sr. MIN
Receiving yards
Under 7.5 ★★★★★ 51% confidence
1 reason for the under
For the under
  • Aaron Jones has recorded Over 7.5 receiving yards in just 43% (3/7) of games this season.
Skyler Bell BUF
Receiving yards
Under 5.5 ★★★★★ 51% confidence
1 reason for the under
For the under
  • Skyler Bell has not recorded Over 5.5 receiving yards in any of his 2 games this season.
Picks and reasons are Inside Edge's: stars run from one to five, beside how confident it is. A pick's number is the line when the pick was made, and lines move.
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